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Topic: SPC Oct 2, 2024 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (Read 18 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Oct 2, 2024 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC Oct 2, 2024 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

[html]SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
     
Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1156 PM CDT Tue Oct 01 2024

Valid 021200Z - 031200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Wednesday.

...Synopsis...
A relatively dry and/or stable pattern will exist across most of the
CONUS today, with high pressure centered over the Great Basin and
lower MO/mid MS Valleys. Strong west to northwest flow aloft will
exist across the northern tier of states, around the southern
periphery of a large upper-level cyclone over central Canada.

The greatest chance for general thunderstorms will be relegated to
the FL Peninsula, where a stalled boundary will exist. Here, mid 70s
F dewpoints and daytime heating will yield around 2000 J/kg MLCAPE,
and midlevel lapse rates will be poor. Shear will be weak, but
outflow will likely be produced as storm coverage increases during
the afternoon over the interior.

..Jewell/Bentley.. 10/02/2024


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Source: SPC Oct 2, 2024 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1200.html)