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Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1045 AM CDT Sat Sep 28 2024

Valid 281700Z - 291200Z

Well above normal to record setting high temperatures are expected
in western/southern Arizona today, and east-southeast sustained
winds of 10-15 mph gusting to 25 mph with minimum RH of 5-15% will
develop across southeast Arizona and far southwest New Mexico. This
will lead to locally elevated conditions across southeast Arizona
into far southwest New Mexico late this morning and during the
afternoon. Otherwise the forecast remains on track and please see
the previous forecast for more details.

..Nauslar.. 09/28/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1253 AM CDT Sat Sep 28 2024/

...Synopsis...
Increasing mid-level flow is expected over the Great Basin Saturday
between a shortwave trough approaching the CA coast and a ridge
centered over the Rockies. Cloud-free skies and heating throughout
the day will result in a deeply mixed boundary layer and momentum
transfer of this stronger flow to the surface. A few hours of
sustained winds reaching 15-20 mph within the Elevated area, along
with RH dropping as low as the upper single digits, are expected. In
addition, an hour or two of critically sustained winds exceeding 20
mph will be possible within the southern half of the Elevated area,
where seasonal ERC values are near the 90th percentile.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...