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Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0430 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

Valid 201200Z - 261200Z

An active mid-level flow regime is expected across the CONUS over
the next seven days. Troughing over the western US will gradually
move eastward as an embedded speed max passes over the Southern
Rockies/Plains this weekend with gusty winds and dry conditions. By
early next week, troughing will move over the central CONUS favoring
cooler and wetter conditions. At the same time, ridging should
redevelop to the west. Some potential for easterly offshore winds
could develop over parts of CA and OR early next week, but
significant forecast uncertainty is present in the medium range.
This suggests the threat for fire-weather conditions is relatively
low.

...Southern Plains...
As troughing gradually moves eastward, stronger southwesterly flow
aloft will overspread parts of the Southern Rockies/Plains late this
week and into the first half of the weekend. A lee low will quickly
deepen over eastern CO supporting periods of gusty downlope winds,
with gusts of 25-30 mph. However, moisture return ahead of the low
will favor higher RH values. Additionally, recent precipitation has
likely tempered fuels somewhat, with more precipitation likely in
into this weekend. Thus, while some risk for fire-weather conditions
may develop over the Plains, confidence is low.

..Lyons.. 09/18/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...