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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

[html]SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
         
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0204 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2024

Valid 161200Z - 171200Z

The primary changes to the Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook were to add
Elevated highlights to portions of the central High Plains. Surface
lee troughing ahead of an approaching broad mid-level trough will
encourage 15-20 mph sustained southerly surface winds over the
central High Plains (particularly along the KS/CO border), in tandem
with 20-25 percent RH. These surface meteorological conditions will
overspread modestly dry fuels, warranting Elevated highlights in
this region.

Surface high pressure over the Northeast will encourage dry easterly
surface flow across portions of Ohio and immediate surrounding areas
tomorrow, where fuels are anomalously dry and highly supportive of
wildfire spread. RH may drop into the 20-25 percent range over these
fuels by afternoon peak heating. However, surface sustained wind
speeds should be generally under 15 mph, precluding the addition of
Elevated highlights this outlook. Nonetheless, given such dry fuels
(with a severe to locally extreme drought in place), gusty
conditions may support localized brush-fire growth in this regime.

..Squitieri.. 09/15/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0150 AM CDT Sun Sep 15 2024/

...Synopsis...
A highly amplified midlevel trough, acco*panied by strong deep-layer
south-southwesterly flow, will overspread the Great Basin during the
day. This will promote 20-30 mph sustained south-southwesterly
surface winds (with higher gusts) across portions of the southern
Great Basin. Despite cooling surface temperatures and increasing
moisture/RH, diurnal heating should still contribute to a corridor
of 15-20 percent RH amid the strong/gusty winds. Therefore, Elevated
highlights are in place for the wind-driven fire-weather risk.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


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Source: SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy2.html)