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Topic: SPC Sep 1, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook (Read 18 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Sep 1, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

SPC Sep 1, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

[html]Day 4-8 Outlook
     
Day 4-8 Outlook Image

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0349 AM CDT Sun Sep 01 2024

Valid 041200Z - 091200Z

...DISCUSSION...
Similar to 24 hours prior, global model solutions with respect to
the large-scale pattern evolution over the U.S. begin substantial
divergence relatively early in the medium-range period.  This
deviation in solutions beco*es readily apparent by Friday (Day 6),
and the differences preclude any meaningful assessment of severe
risk beyond Thursday (Day 5).

Through Day 5, severe-weather risk appears likely to remain minimal.
 Though a cold front is forecast to cross the northern Plains
Wednesday (Day 4) and the Upper Mississippi Valley/Upper Great Lakes
region Thursday (Day 5), low-level moisture -- and thus potential
for destabilization -- is forecast to remain limited ahead of the
front.  As such, appreciable severe risk appears unlikely at this
time.


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Source: SPC Sep 1, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/)