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Mesoscale Discussion 1955
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0125 PM CDT Mon Aug 19 2024

Areas affected...portions of New England

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 191825Z - 192030Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorm activity may produce strong to
severe gusts through the afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm activity ongoing along and ahead of a cold
front across portions of New England has shown an uptick in coverage
over the last hour. Much of the region has been under mid-level
cloud cover through the morning. However, a few breaks in the clouds
have allowed temperatures to warm into the 80s with MLCAPE around
500-1000 J/kg. Deep layer shear for organization remains mostly
offshore, with poor low to mid-level lapse rates. A few clusters of
stronger storms may produce strong to severe gusts at times.
Overall, the lack of support for organization of a more widespread
severe threat will keep this threat localized precluding the need to
for a watch.

..Thornton/Hart.. 08/19/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...
LWX...

LAT...LON   39177503 39167532 39297597 39877626 40557581 43067419
            43987278 43997120 43827082 43107066 42647086 41797190
            39317479 39177503