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SPC MD 1935

SPC MD 1935

[html]MD 1935 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR SOUTHEAST KY AND EXTREME WESTERN VA
       
MD 1935 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 1935
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0457 PM CDT Sat Aug 17 2024

Areas affected...Southeast KY and extreme western VA

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 172157Z - 172330Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Damaging-wind threat will persist across southeast
Kentucky and far western Virginia through 00-01z.

DISCUSSION...A band of thunderstorms is spreading southeastward
across eastern KY on an aggregate convective outflow, in association
with the southern extent of a midlevel shortwave trough.  Surface
temperatures remain in the mid-upper 80s to the south of the ongoing
storms, where MLCAPE is near 2000 J/kg.  The co*bination of the
moderate-strong buoyancy and lingering/steep low-level lapse rates,
along with 30-40 kt midlevel flow per regional VWPs, will support a
continued threat for occasional wind damage with embedded
downbursts.  Gradual cooling of the boundary layer will result in a
slow decrease in the severe threat near and after sunset.

..Thompson/Guyer.. 08/17/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...MRX...JKL...

LAT...LON   37758242 37528213 37218188 36778209 36638265 36598354
            36778436 36948457 37208455 37418406 37758242


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Source: SPC MD 1935 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1935.html)