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SPC MD 1526

SPC MD 1526

[html]MD 1526 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR NORTHEAST OHIO
       
MD 1526 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 1526
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0508 PM CDT Wed Jul 20 2022

Areas affected...northeast Ohio

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely

Valid 202208Z - 202315Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...Storms developing along the cold front in northern Ohio
should continue eastward with a risk for damaging wind gusts. A new
weather watch is being coordinated.

DISCUSSION...Over the last 30 minutes, regional radar and satellite
data showed agitated cumulus and several early thunderstorms
developing along the cold front arcing through northern OH. While it
remains unclear how much more development may occur this afternoon
due to relatively poor lapse rates aloft, sufficient buoyancy (3000
J/kg of MCLAPE) exists for strong storm development. 30-40 kt of
vertical shear may support supercell/bowing structures capable of
damaging wind gusts. A new weather watch is being coordinated
downstream, of WW477 to cover the severe risk into
central/northeastern OH.

..Lyons/Thompson.. 07/20/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...

LAT...LON   40298149 39838257 39858307 40118333 40258331 40428321
            41058269 41518215 41808133 41978083 41988068 41828055
            41598053 41358053 41068058 40548119 40298149


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Source: SPC MD 1526 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1526.html)