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Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0111 AM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024

Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough is forecast to move across the Northwest,
bringing two different rounds of a mix of scattered wet/dry
thunderstorms to portions of Oregon and Idaho. 

...Dry Thunderstorms...
Overnight elevated convection is expected to persist into beginning
of the forecast period over Oregon. However, the greatest chance for
thunderstorm development will be later in the afternoon (20-21Z),
when a mix of scattered wet/dry thunderstorms is forecast to develop
over south-central Oregon and progress northeastward into western
Idaho. Fuels guidance shows ERCs are at or exceeding the 90th
percentile, so even though PWAT values of 0.6-0.9 inches and
relatively slow storm motions of 20 kts will support at least some
wetting rainfall, lightning-based ignitions will still be possible. 

...Dry/Windy...
Localized elevated conditions are possible across eastern Nevada and
western Utah, but will mostly be confined to
diurnally/terrain-driven corridors. These conditions also overlap
with recent wetting rainfall and fuels that are only modestly dry.

..Halbert/Wendt.. 08/15/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...