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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

[html]SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
         
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0159 AM CDT Wed Jul 20 2022

Valid 201200Z - 211200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

...Synopsis...
A prominent mid-level ridge will continue to dominate the flow
regime across the Four Corners and western US as a shortwave trough
and ribbon of stronger flow aloft shift east toward the Great Lakes.
Beneath the ridge, weak winds and extreme heat near a stalled front
will develop over the southern and central Plains supporting
localized fire weather concerns.

...Northern Great Basin into the central Rockies...
Weak downslope flow will linger in the dry post-frontal airmass
across the northern Great Basin, into WY and the central High Plains
today. With mid-level flow decreasing as the ridge builds, sustained
surface winds are not expected to reach more than 15-20 mph locally.
Despite the weak winds, surface RH below 20% may support a few hours
of locally elevated fire weather conditions given drought-stressed
fuels. The most likely corridors for elevated fire weather concerns
will remain near the lee of the higher terrain where downslope flow
is forecast to be the strongest.

...Southern Plains...
Another day of extreme heat is forecast beneath the strong upper
ridge over the western US. 100F+ surface temperatures will support
deep mixing heights and surface RH below 25%. Surface winds are
expected to remain light, with the exception of locally stronger
gusts near the stalled cold front and beneath high-based storms
later in the afternoon. While flow will be light, the extreme heat
and dry airmass may support a few hours of locally elevated to near
critical fire concerns given exceptionally dry fuels.

Isolated high-based thunderstorms will also be possible along the
stalled front mainly across central OK and north TX this afternoon.
While storms are not forecast to be dry given PWAT values of 1.2-1.5
inches, the hot temperatures and deep mixing heights may support a
few drier lightning strikes away from the main precipitation cores.
With area fuels critically dry, a few lightning ignitions will be
possible.

..Lyons.. 07/20/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


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Source: SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html)