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Mesoscale Discussion 1846
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0256 PM CDT Tue Aug 06 2024

Areas affected...portions of eastern North Carolina

Concerning...Tornado Watch 603...

Valid 061956Z - 062100Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 603 continues.

SUMMARY...An isolated tornado threat should continue through the
afternoon across Tornado Watch 603. A replacement tornado watch may
be needed.

DISCUSSION...Occasionally transient supercells have produced brief
bouts of appreciable low-level rotation over the past few hours
along the NC coastline. However, no tornado reports have been
received, or indicated via a TDS on radar. Given widespread cloud
cover and precipitation, the inland airmass has struggled to
destabilize. While regional VADs show curved low-level hodographs
and potentially greater than 200 m2/s2 0-1 and 0-3 km SRH, the
limited buoyancy may temper the tornado threat to a degree.
Nonetheless, the stronger low-level shear will overspread existent
buoyancy for several hours this afternoon, affording the opportunity
for at least a couple of brief tornadoes to occur. As such, a
replacement watch may be needed in the next hour, as Tornado Watch
603 expires.

..Squitieri/Hart.. 08/06/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...

LAT...LON   33867876 34757845 34997778 35047682 34857656 34537674
            34127748 33827781 33697832 33867876