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SPC MD 1825

SPC MD 1825

[html]MD 1825 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND VERMONT...AND NORTHERN MASSACHUSETTS.
       
MD 1825 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 1825
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1258 PM CDT Mon Aug 05 2024

Areas affected...eastern New York...southern New Hampshire and
Vermont...and northern Massachusetts.

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 051758Z - 051900Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

SUMMARY...Scattered supercells are possible this afternoon/evening
with a primary threat of large hail and damaging wind gusts.

DISCUSSION...Temperatures have warmed into the low to mid 80s south
of a stationary front from eastern New York to near Boston with
MLCAPE around 500 to 1000 J/kg. Expect instability to increase this
afternoon with scattered thunderstorm development likely along the
frontal zone. 35 to 45 knots of westerly shear will support
supercells and a threat for large hail and potentially some damaging
wind gusts. This threat should primarily exist during peak heating
with storm intensity expected to wane near sunset.

..Bentley/Hart.. 08/05/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...ALY...BGM...

LAT...LON   42187467 42477531 42917543 43247545 43657456 43657145
            43177053 42657037 42277200 42187467


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Source: SPC MD 1825 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1825.html)