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Topic: SPC Aug 4, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook (Read 22 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Aug 4, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

SPC Aug 4, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

[html]Day 4-8 Outlook
     
Day 4-8 Outlook Image

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0359 AM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024

Valid 071200Z - 121200Z

...DISCUSSION...
Medium-range guidance suggests that fairly prominent mid-level
ridging will be maintained through this period across much of the
Southwest and southern Rockies through the southern Great Plains.
Upstream, it appears that mid-level troughing may beco*e established
near the U.S. Pacific coast by next weekend.  Otherwise, the
evolution of troughing downstream of a prominent mid-level high
initially shifting across the Canadian Northwest Territories is more
unclear.  Some amplification may eventually contribute to the
northeastward acceleration of the remnants of Debby, near/ahead of a
southeastward advancing cold front, after the lingering low-level
circulation center likely shifts back inland across coastal areas
into the southern South Carolina vicinity by Thursday.  If this were
to occur, it probably would be acco*panied by at least some risk for
convection capable of producing tornadoes into the Mid Atlantic
coast vicinity.  However, it is not clear that this potential will
support more than low severe probabilities, and severe weather
elsewhere across the U.S. still appears likely to remain limited
through this period.


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Source: SPC Aug 4, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/)