Clearpost.online It's your post, so post it!

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0448 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024

Valid 011200Z - 071200Z

As upper ridging builds throughout the week, hot and dry conditions
are expected across much of the western US. Winds will remain too
low (outside of any localized terrain effects) for any critical
highlights over the next week, but the hot and dry conditions
beneath this ridging will contribute to the continued curing of
fuels. Beginning D4/Friday through D7/Monday, isolated dry
thunderstorms will be possible across the Northwest as an upper
trough approaches the West Coast and phases with a shortwave trough
forecast to move around the western periphery of the ridge.

The earliest chances for isolated dry thunderstorms will be
D4/Friday across portions of northern California and into southern
Oregon ahead of an approaching upper trough. However, current
forecast sounding guidance leaves some uncertainty in whether the
moisture will be sufficient for thunder occurrence. The best chances
for dry thunder will be D5/Saturday, where better overlap of forcing
for ascent and moisture occur over northern California into Southern
Oregon. Some dry thunder occurrence over the Sierras is also
possible, along with portions of northern Idaho and western Montana,
where storms have the potential to develop over the higher terrain.
Dry thunderstorm chances will persist D6/Sunday and D7/Monday across
portions of eastern Oregon, Idaho, and Montana as the trough
continues to move eastward. While there is still considerable
uncertainty on the specific timing and locations of dry thunderstorm
occurrence during this period, critically dry fuels will be
receptive to any lightning based ignitions, and dry/gusty
thunderstorm outflow could contribute to wildfire spread.

..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...