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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

[html]SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
         
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Image

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0349 PM CDT Sat Jul 27 2024

Valid 291200Z - 041200Z

The period will begin with multiple mid-level impulses traversing
the periphery of an upper ridge across the Interior West, with the
ridge intensifying over the western CONUS as the week progresses.
For Days 3-5 (Monday-Wednesday), localized areas of dry and breezy
conditions, and perhaps a couple of dry thunderstorms, may acco*pany
the passage of the mid-level impulses from the Pacific Northwest
into the northern Rockies and northern/central High Plains. Elevated
highlights may be needed for areas where dry and breezy conditions
can overspread receptive fuels not dampened by preceding rainfall in
the Days 1-2 time frame. The best chance for isolated dry
thunderstorms will be across southern Montana on Day 4 (Tuesday)
with the passage of a pronounced mid-level shortwave trough.
However, multiple rounds of preceding precipitation may dampen
fuels, so isolated dry thunderstorm probabilities have been withheld
until details on future fuels receptiveness can be ascertained.

Relatively quiescent fire weather conditions should then ensue for
the remainder of the forecast period. At some point next weekend
into early parts of the following week, the upper ridge should pivot
eastward, allowing for a northward return of mid-level moisture into
northern California to eastern Washington. Given the anticipated
critically receptive nature of fuels in the Pacific Northwest,
isolated dry thunderstorm highlights may eventually be needed.

..Squitieri.. 07/27/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


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Source: SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/fire_wx/)