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SPC MD 1703

SPC MD 1703

[html]MD 1703 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR EASTERN OHIO...WESTERN AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA...AND CENTRAL NEW YORK
       
MD 1703 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 1703
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0402 PM CDT Wed Jul 24 2024

Areas affected...eastern Ohio...western and northern
Pennsylvania...and central New York

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 242102Z - 242230Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will continue
to produce occasional damaging winds this afternoon/evening.

DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorms have developed within a broad
region of moderate instability (1000 to 1500 J/kg MLCAPE). None of
these storms have been particularly strong, but 25-30 knots of
effective shear have permitted some organized cells to
develop/persist from eastern Ohio into New York. Expect this
continue for several more hours with a threat for damaging wind
gusts before the threat lessens this evening as the boundary layer
begins to cool.

Despite several strong to severe storms, a watch is not anticipated
due to the widely scattered nature of the threat.

..Bentley/Thompson.. 07/24/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...CTP...PBZ...RLX...CLE...
ILN...

LAT...LON   40028233 41817985 42827728 43587632 44307624 44587567
            44727486 44437456 43277451 42377499 41897616 40687843
            39648009 39468121 39608211 40028233


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Source: SPC MD 1703 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1703.html)