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Topic: SPC Jul 24, 2024 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook (Read 15 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Jul 24, 2024 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC Jul 24, 2024 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

[html]SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
     
Day 3 Outlook Image

Day 3 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0137 AM CDT Wed Jul 24 2024

Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorm potential appears low on Friday.

...Synopsis...

An upper trough over the Northeast will continue to shift east
toward the western Atlantic on Friday. Meanwhile, An upper trough
will dig across the West, resulting in an eastward progression of
the Plains upper ridge toward the Midwest. A surface cold front is
expected to develop southeast across the northern Plains during the
afternoon and evening. Scant boundary-layer moisture ahead of the
front across the western Dakotas will limit thunderstorm activity. A
band of richer boundary layer moisture will reside across the
eastern Dakotas into MN and the Mid-MO Valley as southerly low-level
flow maintains a persistent warm advection regime. Large-scale
ascent will generally remain focused north over the Canadian
Prairies and warm midlevel temperatures should maintain capping over
the Red River/Mid-MO Valleys, precluding deep convection across the
warm sector. Overall severe potential appears low on Friday.

..Leitman.. 07/24/2024


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Source: SPC Jul 24, 2024 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk_0730.html)