Skip to main content ↑ ↓
Topic: SPC MD 1683 (Read 23 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC MD 1683

SPC MD 1683

[html]MD 1683 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS
       
MD 1683 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 1683
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0441 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2024

Areas affected...Central/Southern High Plains

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

Valid 192141Z - 192245Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...New Severe Thunderstorm Watch appears warranted for
portions of the central/southern High Plains.

DISCUSSION...Weak short-wave trough is evident within water-vapor
imagery digging south-southeast across the central Plains. Scattered
convection now reflects the leading edge of this feature, with
thunderstorms gradually increasing across the central portions of
ww555 from northwestern KS into eastern CO. This activity should
propagate south along the primary corridor of instability (MLCAPE on
the order of 2000 J/kg) toward the OK Panhandle later this evening.
While LLJ is not forecast to be that strong, 25kt southerly jet
should aid in the longevity of this activity as it spreads south
across the High Plains. Damaging winds are the main risk, though
some hail is possible.

..Darrow/Gleason.. 07/19/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...

LAT...LON   38220286 38379925 37419877 36340001 36460223 38220286


Read more[/html]

Source: SPC MD 1683 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1683.html)