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Topic: SPC Jul 17, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (Read 40 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Jul 17, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC Jul 17, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

[html]SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
     
Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0758 PM CDT Sat Jul 16 2022

Valid 170100Z - 171200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF
SOUTH-CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND INTO FAR NORTHERN KANSAS...

...SUMMARY...
Large hail and damaging winds remain possible over much of
central/southern Nebraska this evening, with a few damaging gusts
also expected from far eastern Colorado into parts of Kansas.

...NE...KS...
A cluster of severe cells producing damaging winds and hail are
ongoing over central NE, and should continue generally
south/southeast this evening into northern KS. Isolated significant
wind gusts remain possible with the larger cluster.

Meanwhile, various storms over eastern CO are expected to propagate
eastward into western KS as well, with a few damaging wind gusts
possible. For more information see mesoscale discussion 1497.

...Mid Atlantic...
Diurnally driven storms from the southern DelMarVa into eastern NC
may remain strong for a short time producing gusty winds, but the
severe threat is expected to wane soon with the loss of heating.

...IL/IN...
Substantial instability is in place near a weak surface trough, with
MLCAPE around 2700 J/kg on the 00Z ILX sounding, and very little
inhibition. Forcing for ascent is lacking, but may increase just
enough this evening with southwest flow at 850 mb and weak height
falls with the MO Valley wave to initiate isolated cells. Locally
strong gusts could still occur.

..Jewell.. 07/17/2022


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Source: SPC Jul 17, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_0100.html)