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Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1247 AM CDT Tue Jul 12 2022

Valid 131200Z - 141200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE CAROLINAS AND SOUTHEAST...

...SUMMARY...
A marginal wind-damge threat is possible on Wednesday in parts of
the Southeast and Carolinas.

...Southeast/Carolinas...
An upper-level trough will move across the Great Lakes on Wednesday,
as a cold front advances southward into the Carolinas and southern
Appalachians. Ahead of the front, a moist airmass will be in place
with surface dewpoints in the lower 70s F. This will contribute to
moderate instability by afternoon from parts of Alabama
east-northeastward into the eastern Carolinas. Thunderstorm
development should be concentrated along the front, with convection
moving eastward into the stronger instability during the late
afternoon and early evening. MLCAPE in the 1500 to 2500 J/kg range,
along with 0-6 km shear of 30 to 35 knots, and veered low-level
flow, will be favorable for the formation of short multicell line
segments.  This environment co*bined with steep low-level lapse
rates, should be sufficient for a marginal wind-damage threat. The
threat will likely be greatest near or just after peak heating.

..Broyles.. 07/12/2022