SPC MD 1395
SPC MD 1395
[html]MD 1395 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY FOR PARTS OF MID/UPPER OHIO VALLEY
Mesoscale Discussion 1395
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1115 AM CDT Wed Jul 06 2022
Areas affected...Parts of mid/upper Ohio Valley
Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely
Valid 061615Z - 061815Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent
SUMMARY...A severe thunderstorm watch is likely for parts of the
mid/upper Ohio Valley this afternoon. An MCV should foster scattered
storms capable of wind damage.
DISCUSSION...The remnant MCV from yesterdays severe MCS is currently
moving through the southern Great Lakes region per water vapor
imagery. Convection ahead of this feature has deepened over the past
hour in western/central Ohio and this trend should continue this
afternoon. The airmass ahead of this activity is quite moist and
temperature range from the low 80s F in southern Ohio to around 90 F
in southern Indiana. Enhanced wind fields with the MCV will promote
25-35 kts of effective shear. Scattered storms should eventually
develop this afternoon with a primary risk of damaging wind gusts.
The primary uncertainty is how convection will evolve. The activity
in Ohio will likely intensify as it ingest more buoyant air through
time. There is also additional development possible along the
outflow boundary in southern Indiana. It is likely that parts of the
mid/upper Ohio Valley region will need a severe thunderstorm watch
this within the next hour or two.
..Wendt/Grams.. 07/06/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...IND...
LAT...LON 39348664 40148511 40318447 39558192 39148132 38648112
38118164 37978253 38398503 38898630 39348664
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Source: SPC MD 1395 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1395.html)