SPC MD 1330
[html]MD 1330 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN OKLAHOMA INTO SOUTHERN KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 1330
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0452 PM CDT Sat Jul 02 2022
Areas affected...portions of northern Oklahoma into southern Kansas
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 022152Z - 022345Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorm development is underway, and a
couple instances of large hail or strong/damaging gusts are possible
into the evening hours.
DISCUSSION...Pulse cellular thunderstorms have percolated in
intensity across northern Oklahoma over the past hour, with
convective initiation underway in southern Kansas near Wichita.
These storms are developing off of a diffuse baroclinic zone, with
the majority of low-level lift driven by strong diurnal heating. The
strongly heated and moistened airmass is contributing to 2000+ J/kg
MLCAPE given near 70 F surface dewpoints overspread by modest lapse
rates. Despite the moderate buoyancy in place, tropospheric wind
fields and associated deep-layer shear is relatively weak. As such,
storms mode should remain pulse cellular, with a couple of
multicellular clusters possible. The stronger storm cores may
support sparse instances of large hail and strong, potentially
damaging gusts into the evening hours.
..Squitieri/Guyer.. 07/02/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TSA...to*...ICT...OUN...DDC...
LAT...LON 35789917 36829873 37699773 38109720 38179558 37909542
37389580 36589687 35939766 35669807 35579852 35789917
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Source: SPC MD 1330 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1330.html)
Topic: SPC MD 1330 (Read 41 times)
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