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Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0354 AM CDT Sat Jul 02 2022

Valid 051200Z - 101200Z

...DISCUSSION...
A prominent upper ridge is forecast to enco*pass much of the central
CONUS into the Southeast through the extended forecast period. The
potential for organized severe thunderstorms each day should be tied
to low-amplitude shortwave troughs moving around the upper ridge
from the northern Rockies/Plains into the Midwest and OH Valley
vicinity. If any of these small-scale perturbations cresting the
ridge can encourage a convective cluster to grow upscale into an
MCS, then damaging winds would be possible as convection spreads
east-southeastward across parts of the Midwest into the OH Valley
and Great Lakes. The northern extent of any appreciable severe
threat will be tied to the presence of rich low-level moisture
along/south of a weak front. At this point, predictability remains
low regarding the evolution/timing of these subtle mid-level
perturbations, and related potential for one or more bowing clusters
to develop and pose an organized severe risk.