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SPC MD 1299

SPC MD 1299

[html]MD 1299 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 411...412... FOR PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN
       
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Mesoscale Discussion 1299
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0509 PM CDT Tue Jun 28 2022

Areas affected...portions of far southeast Minnesota into central
Wisconsin

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 411...412...

Valid 282209Z - 282345Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 411, 412
continues.

SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm
Watches 411-412. Large hail and damaging gusts may acco*pany the
stronger storms along and ahead of a cold front over the next few
hours.

DISCUSSION...Semi-discrete multicellular/transient supercellular
storms continue to pulse in intensity, both with storms immediately
along the cold front in northwest WI, as well as with storms located
within a broad band of confluence ahead of the front in west-central
WI. MRMS mosaic MESH radar data has suggested the presence of hail
approaching 1 inch in diameter with some of the more persistent
updrafts. Storms have generally struggled to maintain any
appreciable vigor thus far. Visible satellite data shows widespread
clouds preceding the storms across central into east-central WI,
which has limited buoyancy for a more robust severe threat.
Nonetheless, surface temperatures remain in the low to mid 80s F
across portions of western WI, where enough deep moist convergence
will continue to support developing storms for the next few hours.
Should more persistent, intense updrafts develop, steep low-level
lapse rates may support a damaging gust threat, in addition to an
instance or two of large hail.

..Squitieri.. 06/28/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GRB...MKX...DLH...ARX...MPX...

LAT...LON   44189345 45099286 45449193 45669012 45598919 45308808
            45128769 44748773 44418819 43968913 43548971 43519040
            43639182 43739248 44189345


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Source: SPC MD 1299 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1299.html)