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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

[html]SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
         
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0201 PM CDT Tue Jun 28 2022

Valid 291200Z - 301200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS....

...Central High Plains...
As the trough and cold front move east out of the Rockies and onto
the High Plains, high-based showers and storms should develop over
eastern WY and the NE Panhandle. In addition to the critically dry
surface conditions and strong winds, the higher based storms may
produce strong and erratic wind gusts as they move east ahead of the
front. Occasional dry lightning may also be a concern given the
relatively high LCLs and area fuels. With some potential for
precipitation, the critical area was shifted slightly south and
eastward away from the greatest chance of wetting rain. Elsewhere,
minimal changes were made. See the prior outlook for more
information.

..Lyons.. 06/28/2022

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0150 AM CDT Tue Jun 28 2022/

...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will overspread the Northern Rockies and Northern
Plains regions as upper ridging persists across the southern and
central U.S. tomorrow/Wednesday. Strong flow behind the mid-level
trough will overspread the northern Great Basin, where downslope
flow along the lee of the Sierra will promote Elevated winds/RH
during the afternoon. Farther east, the co*bination of surface lee
troughing and the passage of a cold front will aid in the
development of critically dry and breezy conditions across portions
of the central Plains for several hours. Critical highlights have
been introduced since fuels are expected to be quite receptive to
fire spread following dry conditions.

Meandering mid-level moisture across the eastern Great Basin will
continue to support the development of isolated high-based
thunderstorms by afternoon peak heating. While it is unclear how
much of an impact preceding day's rainfall will have on fuel beds,
at least spotty critically dry fuels would support ignitions from
lightning, with isolated dry thunderstorm highlights introduced.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


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Source: SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy2.html)