Clearpost.online It's your post, so post it!

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1057 AM CDT Tue Jun 28 2022

Valid 281630Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF
THE UPPER MIDWEST...AND OVER CENTRAL MONTANA....

...SUMMARY...
Widely scattered severe thunderstorms are possible over parts of the
upper Midwest and Montana this afternoon and evening.

...Upper Midwest...
Water vapor imagery shows a progressive low-amplitude shortwave
trough over ND.  This feature will track into the western Great
Lakes region this afternoon, and into Lower MI tonight.  Ahead of
the trough, mostly clear skies are evident over northern WI and
western Upper MI, with dewpoints in the 50s expected to yield
afternoon MLCAPE values around 1000 J/kg.  Increasing forcing for
ascent will lead to scattered thunderstorms by mid-afternoon. 
Deep-layer shear is sufficient for a few rotating storms, and cool
temperatures aloft will support a risk of hail in the stronger
cells. Several 12z CAM solutions suggest that the western flank of
this activity will build southward across western WI into southeast
MN this evening, with a continued threat of hail and locally
damaging winds.

...MT...
A large upper ridge is present across much of the southwestern
states and Great Basin today, with the main ridge axis extending
northward into central MT.  This part of the ridge will weaken this
afternoon as a subtle shortwave trough over eastern WA/OR
approaches.  Scattered high-based showers and thunderstorms will
develop by mid-afternoon over the mountains of southwest
MT/southeast ID/northwest WY and track east-northeastward. 
Instability and low-level moisture will be quite limited, and the
overall coverage of severe storms is in question.  However, a few
cells will pose a risk of locally damaging wind gusts until
mid-evening.

..Hart/Wendt.. 06/28/2022