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SPC MD 1208

SPC MD 1208

[html]MD 1208 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHWEST SOUTH CAROLINA
       
MD 1208 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 1208
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0133 PM CDT Fri Jun 17 2022

Areas affected...western North Carolina...northwest South Carolina

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely

Valid 171833Z - 171930Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...The risk for damaging winds is increasing across western
North Carolina and northwest North Carolina.  A Severe Thunderstorm
Watch will likely be needed prior to 19z.

DISCUSSION...The leading edge of outflow associated with a
long-lived MCS will move into the discussion area this afternoon,
with thunderstorm development likely to increase within a moist,
moderately unstable and largely uncapped environment. Effective
shear is likely to increase somewhat over the next few hours,
increasing the potential for more organized storms. The 12z NSSL-WRF
high-res guidance suggests redevelopment of storms over the next few
hours within this area, with a risk for damaging gusts and perhaps
isolated large hail.  Given these expectations, a Severe
Thunderstorm Watch will likely be needed prior to 19z.

..Bunting/Grams.. 06/17/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...GSP...MRX...FFC...

LAT...LON   35668300 36158249 36578048 36128057 35488047 35158083
            34608190 34318368 34918394 35498356 35668300


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Source: SPC MD 1208 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1208.html)