SPC MD 1208
SPC MD 1208
[html]MD 1208 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHWEST SOUTH CAROLINA
Mesoscale Discussion 1208
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0133 PM CDT Fri Jun 17 2022
Areas affected...western North Carolina...northwest South Carolina
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely
Valid 171833Z - 171930Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent
SUMMARY...The risk for damaging winds is increasing across western
North Carolina and northwest North Carolina. A Severe Thunderstorm
Watch will likely be needed prior to 19z.
DISCUSSION...The leading edge of outflow associated with a
long-lived MCS will move into the discussion area this afternoon,
with thunderstorm development likely to increase within a moist,
moderately unstable and largely uncapped environment. Effective
shear is likely to increase somewhat over the next few hours,
increasing the potential for more organized storms. The 12z NSSL-WRF
high-res guidance suggests redevelopment of storms over the next few
hours within this area, with a risk for damaging gusts and perhaps
isolated large hail. Given these expectations, a Severe
Thunderstorm Watch will likely be needed prior to 19z.
..Bunting/Grams.. 06/17/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...RNK...GSP...MRX...FFC...
LAT...LON 35668300 36158249 36578048 36128057 35488047 35158083
34608190 34318368 34918394 35498356 35668300
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Source: SPC MD 1208 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1208.html)