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SPC MD 1203

SPC MD 1203

[html]MD 1203 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
       
MD 1203 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 1203
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0538 AM CDT Fri Jun 17 2022

Areas affected...southeast Missouri and southern Illinois

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely

Valid 171038Z - 171215Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...The threat for thunderstorm winds in excess of 60 mph will
continue this morning. A new watch will likely be needed across
portions of southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, western Kentucky,
and southwest Indiana.

DISCUSSION...A well-organized mesoscale convective system continues
moving east-southeast this morning into a strongly unstable
environment. Although effective-layer shear remains poor, storm- and
mesoscale organization will co*bine with the unstable environment to
pose a continued threat of thunderstorm winds in excess of 60 miles
per hour. As such a new Severe Thunderstorm Watch downstream of
watch #380 will likely be required this morning.

..Marsh/Thompson.. 06/17/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...

LAT...LON   38149114 39478913 39378690 38748626 37848699 37028796
            36778916 36869024 37519088 38149114


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Source: SPC MD 1203 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1203.html)