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Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0423 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

Valid 161200Z - 171200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHERN NEVADA INTO FAR SOUTHWEST
UTAH...

Made a slight expansion of Elevated and Critical area across western
Nevada based on the latest fuel guidance. Critical conditions are
expected across much of northwest Nevada, but fuels are not
receptive for fire spread north of Lyon County, Nevada. 

In addition, expanded the Isolated Dry Thunderstorm area farther
northeast across New Mexico where fuels are favorable and PWATs are
forecast to remain below .75.

..Bentley.. 06/15/2022

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0203 AM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022/

...Synopsis...
As a highly amplified midlevel trough approaches California,
acco*panying strong/deep south-southwesterly flow will overspread
the Great Basin -- where a dry airmass remains in place. As this
occurs, surface low pressure will deepen over parts of northern NV,
resulting in a tight surface pressure gradient over the southern
Great Basin.

...Critical Wind/RH - Southern Great Basin...
As the strong/deep south-southwesterly flow overspreads a diurnally
deepening boundary layer over parts of the southern Great Basin,
sustained southerly surface winds could reach 20-25 mph amid single
digit to lower/middle teens RH. Given that fuels are highly
receptive to wildfire spread across parts of central and southern NV
(90-95th percentile ERCs), critical fire weather conditions are
expected during the afternoon and evening hours.

...Isolated Dry Thunderstorms...
A plume of increasing midlevel moisture will spread northward atop a
hot/deeply-mixed boundary layer over parts of the Southwest,
allowing for isolated high-based thunderstorm development over parts
of southeastern AZ and southwestern NM. Very limited precipitation
is expected with activity, and isolated lightning-induced ignitions
will be possible owing to critically dry fuels.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...