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Topic: SPC Jun 10, 2022 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (Read 40 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Jun 10, 2022 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC Jun 10, 2022 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

[html]SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
     
Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1126 AM CDT Fri Jun 10 2022

Valid 101630Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN
AND SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms with an acco*panying damaging wind risk are
expected across parts of the lower Mississippi Valley and central
Gulf Coast vicinity, mainly through this afternoon.

...AR/LA/MS/AL/FL Panhandle...
An organized severe MCS continues to move southeast at 40 to 45 kts
across portions of MS/LA, with several reports of wind damage in
association with this system since 12z. The MCS is along the
southern periphery of stronger mid-level flow, however some
augmentation of that flow is evident due to an MCV associated with
overnight convection across OK. Continued heating downstream will
result in additional destabilization, with MLCAPE of 2000 to locally
3000 J/kg expected.  The MCS is expected to continue moving towards
the coast this afternoon posing a risk for primarily damaging winds,
although a brief tornado or two will remain possible with any
transient embedded circulations. Some uncertainty exists regarding
the intensity of the MCS as it moves towards the coast given ongoing
and increasing thunderstorms over southeast LA and southern MS,
however expect the overall damaging wind risk to remain given the
current MCS structure and speed of movement.

..Bunting/Lyons.. 06/10/2022


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Source: SPC Jun 10, 2022 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1630.html)