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Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1256 AM CDT Fri Jun 10 2022

Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...NORTHERN/EASTERN
LOUISIANA...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms with an acco*panying damaging wind risk are
expected across parts of Arkansas into the lower Mississippi Valley
and central Gulf Coast vicinity, mainly this morning into the
afternoon.

...Arkansas into the lower MS Valley/Middle Gulf Coast...
An MCS will likely be ongoing at the start of the period somewhere
across eastern OK into AR. There is some uncertainty regarding the
organization and severity of this MCS during the early morning, but
some intensification is possible with time by late morning into the
early afternoon as the system moves southeastward into a favorably
moist and unstable environment. Moderate northwesterly midlevel flow
will provide sufficient effective shear for storm organization
through the day, and an organized MCS will potentially move
southeastward through parts of AR and MS and reach the middle Gulf
Coast by late afternoon. A swath of damaging wind gusts will be
possible in association with this MCS, in addition to isolated hail
and perhaps a brief tornado or two.

...Eastern KS into MO...
Considerable uncertainty remains regarding the development of storms
in the wake of the primary MCS. However, a few strong elevated
storms could form along the instability gradient from eastern KS
into parts of MO. Isolated hail and strong wind gusts will be
possible if any redevelopment occurs.

..Dean/Weinman.. 06/10/2022