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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

[html]SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
         
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1133 AM CDT Tue Jun 07 2022

Valid 071700Z - 081200Z

The previous forecast remains on track, with only slight adjustments
made to the isolated dry thunderstorm line to account for the latest
guidance consensus. Please see the previous outlook below for more
details.

..Squitieri.. 06/07/2022

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CDT Tue Jun 07 2022/

...Synopsis...
A low-amplitude shortwave trough and enhanced westerly midlevel flow
will cross the central Rockies, while a weak lee surface low
develops over eastern CO.

...Isolated Dry Thunderstorms...
As easterly flow overspreads the southern High Plains in response to
the developing surface low, initially high-based thunderstorm
development is expected from southern CO southward into central NM
during the afternoon. As these thunderstorms spread eastward amid a
hot/deeply-mixed boundary layer and critically dry fuels, isolated
lightning-induced ignitions will be possible prior to convective
upscale growth. In addition, strong to severe outflow winds could
acco*pany the more organized storms. For details on the severe
weather risk, see the Day 1 Convective Outlook.

...Southwest...
Widespread 10-15 percent RH is expected across the Southwest, and
locally elevated conditions will be possible where breezy surface
winds develop over terrain-favored areas.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


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Source: SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html)