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Mesoscale Discussion 1043
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0709 PM CDT Sun Jun 05 2022

Areas affected...central Nebraska into western Kansas and vicinity

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 310...311...

Valid 060009Z - 060215Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 310, 311
continues.

SUMMARY...A threat of damaging winds and hail continues across the
region, and may increase over the next few hours across western
Kansas.

DISCUSSION...Numerous storms across the region have produced several
outflow boundaries which may act to temporarily stabilize the air
mass. However, pockets of strong instability and an increasing
southerly low-level jet tonight should allow for air mass recovery.

One prominent outflow is surging westward across north-central KS
and south-central NE, and towering CU have increased along this
boundary as it moves into the instability axis into western KS.

Meanwhile, storms are increasing in coverage from central NE into
far northwest KS along a cold front, with multiple large hail cores
noted. With time, it is believed that outflow will link and cause
storms to grow into an MCS, with south/southeastward motion favored
down the instability axis. Pockets of stable outflow may
co*plicate/interrupt a potential MCS, but the overall scenario has
potential and will be monitored through tonight.

..Jewell.. 06/06/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON   39870222 40060162 40400090 40860028 41349995 41259973
            40879950 39599952 38789960 38350040 38120137 38420191
            39290235 39870222