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SPC MD 1027

SPC MD 1027

[html]MD 1027 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
       
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Mesoscale Discussion 1027
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0359 AM CDT Sat Jun 04 2022

Areas affected...South Florida

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 040859Z - 041130Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A marginal tornado threat will likely continue along the
immediate coast of south Florida from the northern Florida Keys
northward into the Miami Metro area.

DISCUSSION...The latest high-resolution radar from Miami shows a
large area of rain to the south and east of south Florida, from the
coastal area near Miami extending about 125 statute miles offshore.
Some of the storms embedded in the area of rain have had rotation.
An the Miami WSR-88D VWP has a long and curved hodograph, with 0-3
storm relative helicity just above 300 m2/s2. This will continue to
support an isolated tornado threat this morning with the stronger
cells that move into the immediate coastal areas of south Florida. A
potential will exist for waterspouts, but the tornado threat will
remain marginal, and no watch is expected.

..Broyles/Grams.. 06/04/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...KEY...

LAT...LON   27117987 27297995 27238016 26698016 26268018 25758028
            25428044 25028072 24878059 25128025 25987989 26597979
            27117987


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Source: SPC MD 1027 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1027.html)