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Mesoscale Discussion 0976
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1255 PM CDT Mon May 30 2022

Areas affected...central MN

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 301755Z - 301900Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A few stronger elevated thunderstorms could produce hail
the next couple of hours across parts of central Minnesota. A watch
is not expected for this activity.

DISCUSSION...A band of thunderstorms has developed in an area of
midlevel warm advection to the north of the surface warm front early
this afternoon. This activity is elevated and within a corridor of
weak instability but steep midlevel lapse rates. With continued
heating and moistening, stronger destabilization will occur with
northward extent across central MN into the late afternoon. However,
this initial activity will remain elevated, posing mainly a threat
for hail the next couple of hours. This threat will remain separate
from more intense severe convection expected later this afternoon
and into the evening. A watch is not expected for this short term,
initial round of elevated thunderstorms.

..Leitman/Thompson.. 05/30/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FSD...

LAT...LON   44299486 44329534 44619567 44799579 45179578 45429558
            45919503 46109459 46269420 46369391 46469351 46369321
            46099303 45919299 45599301 45279329 45259337 44659410
            44299486