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Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1115 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022

Valid 301700Z - 311200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PARTS OF NEW MEXICO INTO THE
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...

Minimal changes were made to the ongoing forecast. Strong wind gusts
(30-50 mph) are currently occurring in the lee of the Sangre de
Cristo Mountains and areas to the east. These strong gusts will
continue until at least the early afternoon until the mid-level jet
moves farther northeast. These areas are the most likely to
experience extremely critical meteorological conditions today. With
fuels have received some recent precipitation, fire weather concerns
will be mitigated to some extent.

..Wendt.. 05/30/2022

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0117 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022/

...Synopsis...
In the mid-levels, a fast-moving upper trough will mature as it
ejects quickly northeastward across the Plains and upper Midwest. A
belt of stronger flow will move with the trough, overspreading much
of the Southwest, Southern Rockies and High Plains Monday. At the
surface, a lee low will rapidly deepen, pulling a cold front south
toward the Four Corners. The overlap of strong winds and low
humidity will support elevated and critical fire weather concerns
across New Mexico and the High Plains.

...New Mexico and the central and southern High Plains...
As the mid-level trough quickly ejects to the north and east, 60-80
kt mid-level flow will bolster low-level southwesterly flow across
much of NM onto the High Plains. Widespread 20-30 mph surface winds
should extended northeastward as far as western KS in the wake of
the fast moving lee low and trailing dryline. Downslope drying of
the warm continental airmass should result in widespread sub 15%
humidity, with a few pockets below 10% also possible. While fuels
have been somewhat moderated by recent precipitation farther to the
east, higher-end critical meteorological conditions suggest high
confidence in critical fire weather concerns through this evening. 

...Northern California...
As the upper-level trough departs to the east, strong mid-level flow
will turn more northerly across much of the West Coast. Low-level
downvalley winds are forecast to increase in response to the flow
aloft across the northern Sacramento Valley and surrounding
foothills. Downslope drying and relatively warm conditions should
support RH below 20%, along with surface winds of 15-20 mph. The dry
nature of area fuels suggests elevated fire weather conditions are
likely.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...