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Topic: SPC May 24, 2022 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook (Read 68 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC May 24, 2022 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

SPC May 24, 2022 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

[html]Day 4-8 Outlook
     
Day 4-8 Outlook Image

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0320 AM CDT Tue May 24 2022

Valid 271200Z - 011200Z

...DISCUSSION...
The extended period will be characterized by low predictability.  On
Friday (day 4), a mid-level trough is forecast to move from the OH
Valley to the central/southern Appalachians.  A cold front will
focus thunderstorms over the eastern U.S. and a risk for damaging
gusts will likely acco*pany the most intense thunderstorms.  The
spatial uncertainty and magnitude of the wind-damage risk preclude
an areal highlight at this time.  By this weekend into early next
week, a mid-level trough will develop over parts of the West while a
ridge is projected to be centered over the southern Appalachians.
Models currently indicate the potential for severe thunderstorms to
be lowest on Saturday (day 5) with some increasing potential by
Sunday through Tuesday for parts of the central-northern Great
Plains into parts of the Upper Midwest.


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Source: SPC May 24, 2022 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/)