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SPC MD 809

SPC MD 809

[html]MD 0809 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 237... FOR EASTERN KANSAS INTO WESTERN MISSOURI
       
MD 0809 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 0809
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1018 PM CDT Tue May 17 2022

Areas affected...Eastern Kansas into western Missouri

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 237...

Valid 180318Z - 180415Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 237
continues.

SUMMARY...The damaging wind threat is increasing along and south of
I-70 in eastern Kansas and western Missouri.

DISCUSSION...A mature bow has developed near Topeka and is moving
east-south-eastward toward the western/southern suburbs of Kansas
City. The 00Z TOP RAOB showed a very unstable airmass (~4000 J/kg
MLCAPE) and effective shear around 45 knots with steep mid-level
lapse rates. This is an environment favorable for damaging winds
gusts with significant (75+ mph) wind gusts possible at the apex of
the bow where a rear-inflow jet has started to develop.

In addition, the 00Z RAOB and the 03Z EAX VWP show significant
low-level turning which could support some mesovorticies capable of
significant wind damage and/or a brief tornado.

..Bentley/Smith.. 05/18/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...to*...

LAT...LON   38929600 39049592 39179594 39259583 39289499 39229429
            39019403 38749407 38359439 38379495 38459574 38659622
            38809629 38929600


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Source: SPC MD 809 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0809.html)