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Mesoscale Discussion 0793
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0512 PM CDT Mon May 16 2022

Areas affected...Central and Eastern North Carolina

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 228...

Valid 162212Z - 162315Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 228
continues.

SUMMARY...The severe weather threat will continue for a few more
hours.

DISCUSSION...A few supercells and multicell clusters continue within
watch 228. The strongest storms are in eastern portions of the watch
where the greatest instability is present. Farther west, the airmass
ahead of these storms has cooled as an outflow boundary has surged
ahead. Therefore, enough instability exists in a moderate shear
environment (30-35 knots) to support some severe weather threat, but
the greater threat remains farther east. The severe weather threat
remains more questionable in southern portions of watch 228. A few
weak storms have developed in northern South Carolina, but have
remained sub-severe thus far. This airmass has not been impacted by
earlier convection, but dewpoints have mixed into the low 60s.
Therefore, some strong to severe storms are possible, especially
near the sea breeze boundary where greater low-level moisture is
present, but the lesser instability may also preclude more robust
thunderstorm development.

..Bentley.. 05/16/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...GSP...

LAT...LON   35647947 36037869 36237763 35897606 35577562 35307555
            34807630 34397747 34447900 34777952 34928003 34988047
            35378000 35647947