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SPC MD 792

SPC MD 792

[html]MD 0792 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI...AND EASTERN LOUISIANA
       
MD 0792 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 0792
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0451 PM CDT Mon May 16 2022

Areas affected...Southwestern Mississippi...and eastern Louisiana

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 162151Z - 162315Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A few strong to severe storms are possible through the
evening.

DISCUSSION...A few storms have recently developed along a weak wind
shift moving through southern Mississippi. Shear is quite weak in
this region, but MLCAPE is around 2000 to 2500 J/kg. Therefore,
instability may support some strong updraft/downdraft pairs with
marginally severe hail and a few wind gusts, but a more organized
severe weather threat is not anticipated.

..Bentley/Hart.. 05/16/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...

LAT...LON   30309137 30879154 31329156 31659123 31739073 31709012
            31558980 31008955 30478967 30118999 30149087 30309137


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Source: SPC MD 792 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0792.html)