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SPC MD 735

SPC MD 735

[html]MD 0735 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR FAR NORTH-CENTRAL KANSAS ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND TOWARD SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA
       
MD 0735 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 0735
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0139 PM CDT Thu May 12 2022

Areas affected...far north-central Kansas across much of central
Nebraska and toward southeast South Dakota

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely

Valid 121839Z - 122115Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Storms are likely to increase in coverage and intensity
over the next several hours, with damaging winds and hail expected.

DISCUSSION...A north-south oriented line of thunderstorms have
strengthened over the past hour, evolving out of initially elevated
convection. Given the increasing outflow production, further upscale
growth is possible with this line of storms as strong instability
exists downstream across NE and into SD. Increasingly strong
deep-layer shear to the north will also favor damaging hail with the
stronger cells.

A secondary line of storms is also anticipated along the cold front
later today as it pushes east across NE. In addition, a more robust
supercell/tornado threat is also possible over SD later today, and
will be addressed in later discussions.

..Jewell/Guyer.. 05/12/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF...GLD...

LAT...LON   40059970 40740000 41529973 42429930 42729918 43099898
            43419809 43279752 43079725 42799718 42019734 41299752
            40719772 40089805 39869851 39769892 39739935 39729958
            40059970


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Source: SPC MD 735 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0735.html)