SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
[html]SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0104 AM CDT Fri Apr 29 2022
Valid 291200Z - 301200Z
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NORTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHEAST COLORADO...SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
...Synopsis...
A strong upper-level trough will move across the central Rockies
today. The mid-level jet will move over portions of northern New
Mexico and southern Colorado during peak heating hours. At the
surface, a deep surface low will develop in western Kansas and drive
strong surface winds across the southern High Plains.
...Northeast New Mexico...southeast Colorado...southwest Kansas...
Strong downslope winds in excess of 30 mph are expected to occur in
the lee of the Sangre de Cristos. Widespread single-digit RH is
expected to develop by late-morning/early-afternoon. Widespread ERCs
above the 90th percentile will support extreme fire behavior under
these meteorological conditions. Towards the end of the afternoon, a
cold front will move through southeast Colorado and southwest
Kansas. Winds will shift from westerly to northwesterly. Despite
some RH recovery behind the front, confidence remains high that
several hours of Extremely Critical conditions will occur.
Elsewhere across the southern High Plains, Elevated to Critical
conditions are expected during the afternoon in the post-dryline
environment. RH will be similarly low across the broader region, but
winds will only reach 15-25 mph.
...Mid-Atlantic...
This evening's observed soundings from the Northeast into
southeastern Canada show a very dry low-level airmass. A strong
upper-low off of the northeast coast will couple with a high
pressure system in Canada to promote gusty offshore northwesterly
winds. Fine fuels are quite dry in this region. With RH falling
below 20% in some locations, 15-20 mph winds will bring Elevated
fire weather concerns.
..Wendt.. 04/29/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
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Source: SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html)