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SPC MD 1766

SPC MD 1766

[html]MD 1766 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL TEXAS.
       
MD 1766 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 1766
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0213 PM CDT Mon Sep 05 2022

Areas affected...Portions of central Texas.

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 051913Z - 052115Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...A few strong to potentially severe storms are expected
this afternoon/evening.

DISCUSSION...Surface-based storms have developed in the last 30-45
minutes along and south of a remnant frontal boundary across
portions of west-central Texas. Moderate instability (MLCAPE around
1500 J/kg) should be sufficient for some strong updrafts, but
relatively warm mid-level temperatures and weak vertical shear (~ 20
knots per regional VWPs) should limit the threat for large hail. The
primary severe weather threat will likely be isolated severe wind
gusts from any localized microbursts as water-loaded storm cores
collapse.

..Bentley/Guyer.. 09/05/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...MAF...

LAT...LON   30940004 31120051 31610137 32270168 32710175 32850147
            32640036 32459946 32369873 32279786 31999759 31319761
            30779796 30809935 30940004


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Source: SPC MD 1766 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1766.html)