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Topic: SPC Aug 16, 2022 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook (Read 38 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Aug 16, 2022 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

SPC Aug 16, 2022 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

[html]Day 4-8 Outlook
     
Day 4-8 Outlook Image

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0345 AM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

Valid 191200Z - 241200Z

...DISCUSSION...
Upper troughing over the eastern CONUS should consolidate into a
closed low moving slowly eastward across the Upper Midwest and Great
Lakes region from Day 4/Friday through the upco*ing weekend. While
some low-level moisture will be present ahead of this feature,
generally modest deep-layer shear and weak instability should tend
to keep the threat for organized severe thunderstorms fairly
low/isolated. Overall severe potential should also remain low across
the CONUS early next week, as most medium-range guidance shows a
gradual erosion of the prominent upper ridge over the western
states, and a general lack of enhanced mid-level winds across much
of the CONUS.


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Source: SPC Aug 16, 2022 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/)