Skip to main content
Topic: SPC Aug 7, 2022 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook (Read 51 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Aug 7, 2022 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC Aug 7, 2022 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

[html]SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
     
Day 2 Outlook Image

Day 2 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1229 PM CDT Sun Aug 07 2022

Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
The severe thunderstorm threat is expected to be relatively low on
Monday.

...Lower MI into parts of the Midwest...
A midlevel shortwave trough will move quickly from the upper Great
Lakes toward parts of Ontario and Quebec on Monday, as a trailing
cold front moves through parts of the Midwest and eventually the
lower Great Lakes. Depending on the extent of diurnal heating that
can occur in the wake of morning convection, moderate buoyancy may
develop by afternoon within a very moist environment. Deep-layer
will be modest at best across lower MI, and even weaker farther
south, but a belt of somewhat enhanced flow (25-35 kt) in the
850-700 mb layer may support storm clusters capable of isolated wind
damage, if sufficient heating and steepening of low-level lapse
rates can occur. Wind probabilities may eventually be needed for
portions of this region, depending on how much recovery/heating can
occur in the wake of morning cloudiness and convection. 

...Arizona...
A few strong storms will again be possible across parts of Arizona,
mainly across southeast AZ and also potentially along the Mogollon
Rim, as moderate buoyancy develops within a seasonably moist
environment. Depending on the extent of recovery that can occur in
the wake of convection on D1/Sunday, a threat of isolated severe
gusts and perhaps some hail may evolve, though confidence is too low
to add probabilities at this time.

..Dean.. 08/07/2022


Read more[/html]

Source: SPC Aug 7, 2022 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk_1730.html)