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Topic: SPC Aug 3, 2022 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook (Read 25 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Aug 3, 2022 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC Aug 3, 2022 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

[html]SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
     
Day 2 Outlook Image

Day 2 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1236 AM CDT Wed Aug 03 2022

Valid 041200Z - 051200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A few localized areas of gusty winds are possible over portions of
the Great Basin to Four Corners states, and from the Ozarks into the
Northeast.

...Synopsis/Discussion...
An upper high will build over the central High Plains Thursday, with
relatively weak flow aloft across most of the CONUS. The exception
will be from the Pacific Northwest into the Dakotas, as the base of
a shortwave trough moves across MT. Low pressure will be focused
over SK during the day, with westerlies generally resulting in
weakly unstable conditions across MT where strong heating may lead
to a few high-based storms. At this time, weak instability at or
below 500 J/kg is expected to yield primarily non-severe storms over
central MT after 21Z.

To the east, a warm and moist air mass will exist from the Ozarks
into the Northeast, with various clusters of storms along and south
of a stationary front. Given the generally weakening
upper flow regime and rising heights, concentrated areas of severe
storms are currently not anticipated. However, scattered storm
coverage is likely from the OH Valley into western NY during the
afternoon, near a weak and elongated surface trough. Other storms
may form over the Appalachians, and a few strong sub-severe gusts
appear likely during the peak heating hours.

..Jewell.. 08/03/2022


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Source: SPC Aug 3, 2022 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk_0600.html)