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Topic: SPC Jan 9, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook (Read 27 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Jan 9, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC Jan 9, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

[html]SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
     
Day 2 Outlook Image

Day 2 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1103 AM CST Thu Jan 09 2025

Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through Friday night.

...Southeast LA to the FL Panhandle...
A shallow/thin band of enhanced showers is expected to be ongoing at
12Z Friday across the southeast LA vicinity. The northeast extent of
scant buoyancy, MUCAPE near 100 J/kg, should spread across the mouth
of the MS River into a portion of the north-central Gulf in
conjunction with a weak surface cyclone tracking east along the
coast. With an elongated, positive-tilt longwave trough displaced to
the north/west, mid-level lapse rates will remain weak and
upper-level temperatures will be relatively warm. Thus, potential
for charge separation appears nearly negligible. Still, with a plume
of low to mid 60s surface dew points impinging on the coast and
offshore waters, mixing of fast low-level flow may yield strong
gusts with the shallow convective line. This line should eventually
decay in the northeast Gulf vicinity by evening.

..Grams.. 01/09/2025


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Source: SPC Jan 9, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk_1730.html)