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Topic: SPC Dec 21, 2024 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (Read 12 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Dec 21, 2024 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC Dec 21, 2024 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

[html]SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
     
Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1126 PM CST Fri Dec 20 2024

Valid 211200Z - 221200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms are possible this morning into early
afternoon across parts of coastal Oregon and northern California.

...c*astal OR/northern CA...
A shortwave trough will progress northeastward and reach the Pacific
Northwest coast midday, then pivot eastward towards the northern
Rockies through tonight. A pronounced low-level warm conveyor will
overspread the coast early this morning with an attendant rain swath
moving onshore by 12Z. Embedded, isolated thunderstorm potential
should be confined to northern CA during the morning, along the
northern periphery of scant to meager MUCAPE, before ascent wanes.

Along the OR coast, a period of steep mid-level lapse rates
attendant to the mid-level cold core should be coincident with
onshore southwesterly low-level flow. Sporadic lightning flashes may
acco*pany scattered low-topped convection from late morning to early
afternoon, before mid-level temperatures rapidly warm with further
inland progression of the trough.

..Grams/Weinman.. 12/21/2024


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Source: SPC Dec 21, 2024 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1200.html)