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Topic: SPC Nov 29, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (Read 14 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Nov 29, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC Nov 29, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

[html]SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
     
Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0643 AM CST Fri Nov 29 2024

Valid 291300Z - 301200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected today.

...Discussion...
West-northwesterly flow aloft will be prevalent today across the
majority of the CONUS with eastward-progressive mid/upper-level
troughing from the lower Great Lakes to the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast.
With a general prevalence of surface high pressure and cool/stable
conditions, thunderstorm potential will remain very limited, with a
couple of possible exceptions.

Scattered showers and possibly some thunderstorms may occur along
and north of a southward-moving cold front from the northeast Gulf
of Mexico toward the Florida Peninsula and nearby Atlantic within a
marginally unstable environment. Additionally, a few lightning
flashes could also occur in the immediate lee of the Lower Great
Lakes, as cold air aloft overspreads the relatively warm lake waters
resulting in low-topped convective snow bands.

..Guyer/Broyles.. 11/29/2024


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Source: SPC Nov 29, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.html)