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Mesoscale Discussion 2176
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1107 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024

Areas affected...southwest MO

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 697...

Valid 310407Z - 310500Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 697
continues.

SUMMARY...A threat for a couple tornadoes and damaging wind swaths
may persist across southwest Missouri into the early morning.

DISCUSSION...A tornadic supercell in far northeast OK has recently
merged into the broader convective line that extends across much of
MO from the northeast to the southwest. The Springfield VWP ahead of
this line supports a rather enlarged low-level hodograph with 0-1 km
SRH around 500 m2/s2. Tornado potential will persist where surface
dew points can remain at or above 64 F, which currently extend as
far northeast as the SGF area. An embedded bowing structure that has
formed north of the merged supercell should yield an uptick in
damaging wind potential as well across southwest MO. With time,
convection will spread farther to the northeast and away from the
increasingly confined instability plume. This suggests the primary
severe threat will be over the next couple hours.

..Grams.. 10/31/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...

LAT...LON   37029434 37359407 37619380 37899356 38279306 38259262
            37959226 37159253 36859284 36649326 36529402 36799427
            37029434